Tuesday, 1 March 2016

Is There Evidence for God? Craig vs. Scharp


“Is There Evidence for God?”

William Lane Craig vs. Kevin Scharp
Ohio State University, USA – February 2016

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8KMd_eS2J7o










William Lane Craig – Dr. Craig
DR. CRAIG: Thank you! I’m grateful to the Veritas Forum for the invitation to participate in tonight’s dialogue, and I’d also like to thank Kevin Scharp for his willingness to join in.
We’re here to discuss whether there is evidence for God. I think that there is. In fact, I’m convinced that God’s existence best explains a wide range of the data of human experience. Let me mention briefly six.
1. God is the best explanation why anything at all exists. This is the most fundamental question of philosophy. Suppose you were hiking through the woods and found a ball lying on the ground. You would naturally wonder how it came to be there. If your hiking buddy said to you, “Forget about it! It just exists inexplicably!”, you would think that he was either joking or else just wanted you to keep moving. No one would take seriously the idea that the ball just exists without any explanation. Why not? Because the ball is contingent in its existence. It can exist, but it doesn’t have to exist.
So what makes the ball different from, say, unicorns, which can exist but do not exist? Very simply, there is something that explains the ball’s existence, typically a causal explanation. Now, notice that merely increasing the size of the ball, even until it becomes coextensive with the universe, does nothing to provide or remove the need for an explanation of its existence. So, what is the explanation of the universe, where by “the universe” I mean all of spacetime reality?
The explanation of the universe can be found only in a transcendent reality beyond the universe, beyond space and time, which is metaphysically necessary in its existence. Now, there’s only one way I can think of to get a contingent entity like the universe from a necessarily existing cause, and that is if the cause is a personal agent who can freely choose to create a contingent reality. It therefore follows that the best explanation of the existence of the contingent universe is a transcendent personal being, which is what everybody means by “God.”
We can summarize this reasoning as follows:
1. Every contingent thing has an explanation of its existence.
2. If the universe has an explanation of its existence, that explanation is a transcendent, personal being.
3. The universe is a contingent thing.
4. Therefore, the universe has an explanation of its existence.
5. Therefore, the explanation of the universe is a transcendent, personal being (which is what everybody means by “God.”)
2. God is the best explanation of the origin of the universe. Atheists have typically held that the universe never had a beginning, but is just eternal in the past. But we now have pretty strong evidence that the universe is not eternal in the past, but had an absolute beginning a finite time ago. In 2003, Arvind Borde, Alan Guth, and Alexander Vilenkin were able to prove that any universe which is, on average, in a state of cosmic expansion throughout its history cannot be infinite in the past, but must have a past spacetime boundary. Because we don’t yet have a quantum theory of gravity, we can’t provide a physical description of the first split-second of the universe. But any sort of quantum physical state which may have characterized the early universe cannot be eternal in the past because it is unstable and so must have had an absolute beginning. Even if our universe is just a part of a so-called “multiverse” composed of many universes, the multiverse itself must have had an absolute beginning.[1]
Of course, highly speculative scenarios like loop quantum gravity models, string models, even closed time-like curves have been proposed to try to avoid this absolute beginning. These models are fraught with problems. But the bottom line is that none of these theories, even if true, succeeds in restoring an eternal past. According to Vilenkin, none of these scenarios can actually be past-eternal. He concluded, “All the evidence we have says that the universe had a beginning.”[2]
But then the inevitable question arises: Why did the universe come into being? What brought the universe into existence? There must have been a transcendent cause which brought the universe into being.
We can summarize our argument as follows:
1. The universe began to exist.
2. If the universe began to exist, then the universe has a transcendent cause.
3. Therefore, the universe has a transcendent cause.
By the very nature of the case, that cause must be a timeless, spaceless, immaterial being. Now, there are only two types of things that could possibly fit that description. Either an abstract object like a number or else an unembodied mind or consciousness. But abstract objects don’t stand in causal relations. The number seven, for example, has no effect upon anything. Therefore, the cause of the universe is plausibly an unembodied mind. And thus, we’re brought not merely to a transcendent cause of the universe, but to its personal creator.
3. God is the best explanation of the applicability of mathematics to the physical world. Philosophers and scientists have puzzled over what physicist Eugene Wigner called “the unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics.”[3] How is it that a theorist like Peter Higgs can sit down at his desk and by poring over mathematical equations predict the existence of a fundamental particle, which 30 years later, after investing millions of dollars and thousands of man hours, experimentalists are finally able to detect? Mathematics is the language of nature. But how is this to be explained? If mathematical objects are abstract entities causally isolated from the universe, then the applicability of mathematics to the physical world is, in the words of the philosopher of mathematics Mary Leng, “a happy coincidence.”[4]
On the other hand, if mathematical objects are just useful fictions, then how is it that nature is written in the language of these fictions? The naturalist has no explanation for the uncanny applicability of mathematics to the physical world. By contrast, the theist has a ready explanation. When God created the universe, he designed it on the mathematical structure which he had in mind.
We can summarize this argument as follows:
1. If God did not exist, the applicability of mathematics would be a happy coincidence.
2. The applicability of mathematics is not a happy coincidence.
3. Therefore, God exists.
4. God is the best explanation of the fine-tuning of the universe for intelligent life. In recent decades, scientists have been stunned by the discovery that the initial conditions of the big bang were fine-tuned for the existence of intelligent life with a precision and delicacy that literally defy human comprehension. There are three live explanatory options for this extraordinary fine-tuning: physical necessity, chance, or design.
Physical necessity is not, however, a plausible explanation because the finely tuned constants and quantities are independent of the laws of nature. Therefore, they are not physically necessary.
So, could the fine-tuning be due to chance? The problem with this explanation is that the odds of a life-permitting universe governed by our laws of nature are just so infinitesimal that they cannot be reasonably faced.[5] Therefore, proponents of chance have been forced to postulate the existence of a world ensemble of other universes, preferably infinite in number and randomly ordered, so that life-permitting universes would appear by chance somewhere in the ensemble.
Not only is this hypothesis, to borrow Richard Dawkins’ phrase, an “unparsimonious extravagance,”[6] but it faces an insuperable obstacle. By far, most of the observable universes in a world ensemble would be worlds in which a single brain fluctuates into existence out of the vacuum and observes its otherwise empty world. Worlds like that are simply incomprehensibly more plenteous in the world ensemble than worlds like ours. Thus, if our world were just a random member of a world ensemble, we ought to be having observations like that. Since we don’t, that strongly disconfirms the world ensemble hypothesis. So, chance is also not a good explanation.
It follows that design is the best explanation of the fine-tuning of the universe. Thus, the fine-tuning of the universe constitutes evidence for a cosmic designer:
1. The fine-tuning of the universe is due to either physical necessity, chance, or design.
2. The fine-tuning of the universe is not due to physical necessity or chance.
3. Therefore, the fine-tuning of the universe is due to design.
5. God is the best explanation of objective moral values and duties in the world. In moral experience, we apprehend a realm of moral values and duties which impose themselves upon us as objectively binding and true. For example, we all recognize that it’s wrong to walk into an elementary school with an automatic weapon and shoot little boys and girls and their teachers. On a naturalistic view, however, there’s nothing really wrong with that. Moral values are just the subjective byproducts of biological evolution and social conditioning. In Richard Dawkins' words, “There is at bottom . . . no evil, no good, nothing but pitiless indifference. . . . We are machines for propagating DNA. . . . It is every living object’s sole reason for being.”[7]
By contrast, the theist grounds objective moral values in God and our moral duties in his commands. The theist thus has the explanatory resources which the atheist lacks to ground objective moral values and duties. Hence, we may argue:
1. Objective moral values and duties exist.
2. But if God did not exist, objective moral values and duties would not exist.
3. Therefore, God exists.
So, if you think that there are at least some things that are really good or evil, you should take a serious look at theism.
6. God can be personally known and experienced. This isn’t really an argument for God’s existence. Rather, it’s the claim that you can know God exists wholly apart from arguments simply by personally experiencing him. Philosophers call beliefs like this “properly basic beliefs.” They aren’t based on some other beliefs; rather, they’re part of the foundation of a person’s system of beliefs. Other properly basic beliefs would be belief in the reality of the external world or the reality of the past. When you think about it, neither of these beliefs can be proved on the basis of evidence. How could you prove that the world was not created five minutes ago with built-in appearances of age, like food in our stomachs from the breakfasts we never really ate, or memory traces in our brains of events we never really experienced? How could you prove that you’re not a brain in a vat of chemicals being stimulated with electrodes by some mad scientist to believe that you’re sitting here in this auditorium listening to this lecture?
Although these sorts of beliefs are basic for us, that doesn’t mean that they’re arbitrary. Rather, they are grounded in the sense that they’re formed in the context of certain experiences. In the experiential context of seeing and feeling and hearing things, I naturally form the belief that there are certain physical objects which I am sensing. Thus, my basic beliefs are not arbitrary but appropriately grounded in experience.[8] There may be no way to prove such beliefs, and yet it is perfectly rational to hold them. You’d have to be crazy to think that you’re a brain in a vat or that the world was created five minutes ago! Such beliefs are thus not merely basic but properly basic.
In the same way, belief in God can be for those who seek him a properly basic belief grounded in our experience of God. Hence, we may argue:
1. Beliefs which are appropriately grounded may be rationally accepted as basic beliefs, not grounded on argument.
2. Belief that God exists is appropriately grounded.
3. Therefore, belief that God exists can be rationally accepted as a basic belief, not grounded on argument.
If this is right, then there’s a danger that arguments for God could actually distract your attention from God himself. The Bible promises, “Draw near to God and he will draw near to you” (James 4:8). We mustn’t so concentrate on the external arguments that we fail to hear the inner voice of God speaking to our own hearts. For those who listen, God becomes an immediate reality in their lives.
[Audience applause]

[1] 5:03
[2] Audrey Mithani and Alexander Vilenkin, “Did the universe have a beginning?” arXiv:1204.4658v1 [hep-th] 20 Apr 2012, p. 5); A.Vilenkin, cited in “Why physicists can't avoid a creation event,” by Lisa Grossman, New Scientist (January 11, 2012).
[3] "The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences," in Communications in Pure and Applied Mathematics 13/1 (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1960).
[4] Mary Leng, Mathematics and Reality (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010), p. 239.
[5] 10:05
[6] Richard Dawkins, The God Delusion (New York: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2006), pp. 175-176.
[7] Cited in Lewis Wolpert, Six Impossible Things before Breakfast: The Evolutionary Origins of Belief (New York: Norton, 2006), 215. Unfortunately, Wolpert’s reference is mistaken. The quotation seems to be a pastiche from Richard Dawkins, River out of Eden: A Darwinian View of Life (New York: Basic, 1996), 133, and Richard Dawkins, “The Ultraviolet Garden,” Lecture 4 of 7 Royal Institution Christmas Lectures (1992), http://physicshead.blogspot.com/2007/01/richard-dawkins-lecture-4-ultraviolet.html.
[8] 15:02
Kevin Scharp – Dr. Scharp
DR. SCHARP: Good evening, friends! Thanks to the sponsors of tonight’s event for inviting me, and thanks to Professor Craig for participating and thanks to all of you for coming out!
So, Professor Craig went first and got to give his case for theism. Going second, I’m now expected to present my position, argue it, and dismantle his, so I better get going. I call the position “21st century atheism.” Why 21st century? Because I think we’ve learned some important lessons in the 20th century about philosophy of religion, and it’s time to take advantage of those insights.
Next, let’s define the position first. We should be formulating theism and atheism in terms of confidence levels from zero percent to 100 percent, not in terms of belief. Confidence levels are much more precise. For example, if forced to answer who would be the next president, I would probably say Hillary Clinton. But I’m only at about 51 percent confidence on that, so there’s no way that I would say sincerely, “Hillary is going to win” in normal circumstances. A certain level of confidence is required in order to count as a belief. We should formulate theism and atheism in terms of specific gods and religions. The terms “theist about X” and “atheist about X” should be primary. And then you can define general theism and general atheism in terms of those.
We also need to distinguish between weak religious views and strong religious views. A weak religious view is greater than 50 percent confidence. A strong religious view is high enough to count as knowledge or outright belief. So, using these points, we can map out the various options.
Next [referring to slide], on the left, we see views on whether some god exists. Here I’ve put in the threshold for belief at 80 percent, but that’s just an example. Saying that it’s more probable than not that some god exists means that you only need to show greater than 50 percent confidence. But saying that we know or believe that some god exists requires a higher confidence level.
Next [referring to slide], top and the bottom indicate strong positions. The top, strong theism; the bottom, strong atheism.
Next [referring to slide], the middle positions are in between, and they are weak. Just above the 50 percent we have weak theism; just below 50 percent, weak atheism.
Next [referring to slide]. Now on the right we have the same kind of options but instead of being about whether there are any gods at all, they’re about whether capital “G” God, the Christian God, exists. And now, back to both frameworks.
Here we have 21st century atheism depicted on the previous framework as the red X on the left and the red X on the right. The left X indicates that it’s more probable than not that there are no gods at all. The right X indicates that there is no Christian God, and that’s a high confidence claim. You can imagine a bunch of frameworks, just like the one on the right, for other sorts of gods, like Zeus or Thor or what have you. And the X is going to be in the same place in each case.
Okay, so 21st century atheism is a fairly simple theory, and the primary argument for it is fairly simple as well. I call it the confidence argument. For any familiar god, including capital “G” God, the evidence is always either in ancient history or someplace where there are few witnesses, or it’s based on someone’s private experience.[9]
Also, the evidence for it conflicts with our best scientific theories in biology, chemistry, and physics, and we should have way more confidence in those scientific theories than in any existing evidence for any familiar god. The confidence argument should give us high enough confidence to say god does not exist, Zeus does not exist, Thor does not exist, and so on. What about our confidence for the claim there are no gods at all? Any god that supposedly intervenes in the world in any familiar way is going to be undermined by the confidence argument. And we have no reason to believe in gods that do not intervene in the world at all, because they don’t need them to explain anything. So, there’s no reason to think that they do exist, and there’s very weak reason to believe they do not exist. Therefore, it’s more probable than not that there are no gods. But this confidence isn’t high enough to count as knowledge or outright belief.
Next [referring to slide]. That’s my position and my arguments for it. It’s important to note though, that 21st century atheism has nothing to do with the following views:
No strong general [atheism][10]: That would require arguing for high confidence against the existence of all conceivable gods, even those that might want to deceive us about all the evidence, like Descartes’ evil deceiver. Defending strong general atheism is, in my view, a sucker’s bet.
No reductive naturalism: I have no patience with the claim that everything can be reductively explained in terms of science, and it’s completely independent of 21st century atheism.
I’ve not argued that religion has bad consequences.
I’ve not implied that theists are stupid. Professor Craig might be the smartest person in the room for all I know.
I’ve not argued that miracles are impossible, only that all the evidence we have for them does not override or even come close to our evidence for scientific theories that conflict with the supposed miracle.
Now I want to develop a new kind of criticism of arguments for theism and for Christianity. I call it the appeal to divine psychology. You might have noticed I didn’t use the problem of evil in my arguments here at all. That’s because contemporary Christian philosophers of religion, to their great credit, have largely dismantled the problem of evil. In essence, the theist points out that we should have no confidence at all in understanding God’s global plans, or how the evil we see might be outweighed by some more important part of the plan. Then the argument turns into a fight about divine psychology.
By divine psychology, I mean what God would do, what God would believe, what God would want, what plans God would have, or what reasons God would have. Arguing with a theist about divine psychology is like arguing with a little kid about his imaginary tea party, and all the parents in the room know that you don’t win that argument. No one seems to have realized that the point can be generalized to show that an entire category of arguments is unacceptable. That entire category I call “appeals to divine psychology,” and it includes many of the theist's favorite arguments as well. Abandoning divine psychology cuts both ways, but it cuts the theist deeper. In particular, cosmological arguments, teleological arguments, explanatory arguments, and miracle arguments all make appeals to divine psychology. The Christian might claim that appeals to divine psychology are just fine, but the theist can’t have it both ways. If we allow claims about God’s psychology, then the problem of evil comes roaring right back, and you don’t want that.
Now we need to turn to the arguments for theism and for Christianity in particular. Because my discussion partner is Professor Craig, I’ll be focusing on his work in what follows. In assessing his arguments, I will talk as I would to any other professional philosopher whose system I’ve managed to work my way into. That is, I don’t pull punches, but I also never attack character, so it isn’t personal. Professor Craig knows this; I know this; I’m saying it for the benefit of the audience. In part, because I respect the guy. He’s got some great philosophical skills, he’s a talented system builder, which I admire, and he’s done a tremendous service to the atheist movement by trouncing most of our heroes and raising the bar on both sides. [Audience laughter] I’m serious! That’s a major benefit, a major thing that we can say thank you for.
I’ve managed to take a look at Professor Craig’s entire system. Here it is [referring to slide]. Here’s what we have. I think all the major arguments are here that Professor Craig has either advocated or proposed over the years. It’s divided into arguments for theism in general at the top and for Christianity in particular at the bottom. Recall, he just gave the contingency argument, the kalam argument, the mathematical applicability argument, the fine-tuning argument, the moral argument, and the experience argument. Four arguments from the top, two arguments from the bottom, that’s the six he just gave.
Next [referring to slide]. In this table Professor Craig’s arguments are on the left and some major problems are on the top.
Next [referring to slide]. We can see first a previously unknown problem that affects the entire system. I call it the weakness problem. It’s sort of highlighted in blue up there. Professor Craig has routinely defended the arguments for theism by saying that he only needs to convince you that the premises are more plausible than not. But it should be obvious that it takes more than 51 percent confidence for knowledge or outright belief.[11]
Look back at the earlier framework for illustration. Here’s what Professor Craig argues for. These are the way his arguments are presented.
Next [referring to slide], these are the conclusions that he draws from them. Go back [referring to slide], those are the way he defends his premises, and again forward [referring to slide], those are the conclusions.
So, ultimately, he’s been defending his arguments as if he advocates weak theism, but he’s been advertising his view as if it’s strong theism. So, the weakness problem is that his arguments are far weaker than they need to be to support his very strong conclusions. Therefore, no one should take any of these arguments seriously until they are completely redefended from the ground up to match the standard Professor Craig has set for himself. Otherwise, he could backpedal and opt for weak theism, but either way the entire system needs to be reworked.
While there are plenty of interesting things to say, I don’t really need to do anymore to undermine the entire system of arguments with the exception of the experience argument at the bottom. It doesn’t have any Xs at all, but don’t let that fool you. That just makes it very different from the other ones.
I do want to emphasize a couple of points. Look at the divine psychology objection. The problem affects a lot of the arguments up here. And it’s not going to affect the moral argument, but every one, except for moral and experience of the ones that he presented, it’s there.
Next, think about explanation. Professor Craig routinely formulates his arguments as inferences to the best explanation. I don’t know if you noticed that, but every single one of the first five arguments were formulated as inferences to the best explanation tonight. However, he admits that it’s almost impossible to determine what God would do or plan at all.
For example, if we think of God alone existing all by himself, then there’s no way to infer that God would even create the universe. Professor Craig freely admits that the God hypothesis doesn’t make any predictions, but it also makes no retrodictions. A retrodiction is like a prediction, but it’s predicting something that we already know about, like the existence of the universe. The God hypothesis offers no predictions, no retrodictions, and as such, it’s a terrible explanation.
Moral argument: The first premise states that if God does not exist, then objective moral values do not exist either. In arguing for this premise, Professor Craig just assumes that the atheist has to explain all morality in terms of evolutionary theory. He said it again tonight. But that is so completely wrong that you can’t know anything about the whole history of ethics over the last century if you espouse that. There are literally dozens of theories of moral values and moral duties that are objective, not naturalist, and make no appeal to gods. For example, G. E. Moore, Sir William David Ross, Christine Korsgaard, Thomas Scanlon, Derek Parfit, Philippa Foot, David Enoch, Russ Shafer-Landau, Rosalind Hursthouse, John McDowell, Jonathan Dancy, H. A. Prichard, Roger Crisp, Joseph Raz, Jean Hampton, and Rey Wedgwood. That’s just a few. Therefore, until he’s refuted every single one of these theories, he needs to stop using the moral argument. The lesson for everybody else: Stop assuming that atheists cannot accept that there aren’t objective moral values. All it demonstrates is that you know nothing about ethics.
Next [referring to slide]. Finally, Professor Craig makes a big deal of his knowledge of cosmology, and he uses it in the kalam argument and the fine-tuning arguments, both arguments that you saw tonight. However, he rejects evolutionary theory and with it contemporary biology, in favor of intelligent design, which is the idea that biological species developed by God’s guidance. But it doesn’t make sense to claim to be an expert on cosmology and at the same time reject evolution. That’s just cherry picking.
Does he think there’s a magic dividing line between biology and chemistry? How do you think the fine-tuning argument even works? Those calculations are about biochemistry, and that’s the basis for evolutionary theory and biology. At this point, we understand life well enough that if you reject evolutionary theory, it’s pretty easy to trace out how you would have to reject chemistry and ultimately physics as well. So, Professor Craig, from one philosopher to another, please drop intelligent design. I would like to have a stronger opponent than that. It does nothing to help you, and it makes you look like you’re more scared of evolutionary theory than Richard Dawkins is scared of you, and we both know that’s pretty scared. [Audience laughter]
We don’t need to go through much more, partly because, for the apologist, these arguments are just smoke and mirrors anyway, and, as we’ll see, their fate has no impact on the apologist’s belief that God exists. The real heart of this system is the experience argument. We’ll turn to that.
Professor Craig claims that even if all the other arguments for God’s existence were shown to be worthless, that would have absolutely zero impact on his belief that God exists. That’s because his own religious experience tells him that he knows God exists, independently of any argument or evidence.[12] He makes two appeals to justify this radical thesis. First, the belief that God exists is a basic belief, because it’s like a perceptual belief. And second, that his religious experience is an intrinsic defeater defeater. This means that his experience is so powerful that it undermines any reason one might have to doubt it. So, according to Professor Craig, his religious experience is so powerful it allows him to know God exists, it can never be reasonably doubted, and he doesn’t have to provide any arguments for it at all. You’ve got to hand it to the guy, he knows where his weak spot is.
The fact is, religious experiences do not fit well into basic structure because they don’t act like perceptual experiences at all. Perceptual experiences are backed up by other evidence, including biology. Not so for religious experience. And in addition, we’ve got very good reason to think that there are no intrinsic defeater defeaters, because any experience can be misleading. Indeed, we can stimulate a person’s brain in certain ways and cause them to have very powerful religious experiences, even though they aren’t experiencing anything. If Professor Craig’s experience was truly an intrinsic defeater defeater, it would have to defeat all of neuroscience that potentially undermines it, and that’s absurd. Subjective experiences, even really, really, really, really powerful ones, are just that—subjective. All by themselves, they don’t allow us to know anything objective.
By far the biggest problem with the experience argument is that it’s supposed to justify being an apologist, which is how Professor Craig identifies. The apologist is concerned first and foremost with defending the belief that God exists. There’s never an attempt to figure out whether it’s true that God exists, and the apologist is completely opposed to even considering that God might not exist. I am ready to become a Christian tonight, but Professor Craig, because he’s an apologist, has decided to put becoming an atheist completely out of the question. The apologist puts this belief that God exists completely out of bounds for critical thinking. Being an apologist is seriously irrational. First of all, putting any belief completely out of bounds for critical thinking is irrational. How irrational? Well, we have lots of great theories of rationality and critical thinking, but none of them can even model the apologist’s irrationality.
For example, you might be able to come close if you stipulate that the belief in God has to be 100 percent confidence. But Professor Craig emphatically denies that. So, he’s suggesting that we should take a belief that isn’t even certain and put it out of bounds for critical thinking. Our best theories of rationality can account for a lot of kinds of irrationality, but the apologist’s irrationality is so extreme that it can’t even be modeled at all. Being an apologist is off the charts irrational.
When discussing the case of Ryan Bell, the pastor who tried atheism for a year and lost his faith, Professor Craig freely admits that any Christian who allows Christianity to be subject to critical thinking just like any other belief is probably going to end up an atheist. That’s Professor Craig’s own stated view. The greatest Christian apologist of the last half-century is convinced that if the Christian gives the belief that God exists a fair shake in the process of rational belief revision, then the belief that God exists is going to lose. Let that sink in for a second.[13]
Finally, why should we care about any of this? Well, it has a huge impact on social issues. In particular, apologetics tends to creep into related beliefs and lead to arbitrary hatefulness. For example, Professor Craig campaigns against same-sex marriage and the right for same-sex couples to adopt. To try to undermine some perfectly great parents’ right to have kids is a personal disgrace, and moreover, it’s not supported by anything in the Bible or entailed by anything that is. Of course, there’s no outcry about single people adopting kids, nor is there an outcry about rich people adopting kids, even though greed is mentioned right along with homosexuality in 1 Corinthians and is emphasized over and over throughout the New Testament. When Professor Craig cites evidence for his view, he focuses exclusively on the four studies that suggest some problems for kids from same-sex households. Conveniently, he ignores the over 70 studies concluding that there are no problems specific to kids from same-sex households. Professor Craig, don’t forget, you can always change your mind. Thank you!
[Audience applause]

[9] 20:01
[10] Dr. Scharp seems to misspeak here. He says “theism” but his slide shows “atheism” and in the context means “atheism.”
[11] 25:10
[12] 30:05
[13] [Note from the transcriber:] The references for this are unknown. There are two podcasts in which Dr. Craig discussed the Ryan Bell situation and in neither does Dr. Craig make the assertion that “any Christian who allows Christianity to be subject to critical thinking just like any other belief is probably going to end up an atheist.” The reader is encouraged to listen to those podcasts and read the transcripts to see for himself if this is really what Dr. Craig believes. See http://www.reasonablefaith.org/the-danger-of-trying-on-atheism and http://www.reasonablefaith.org/a-year-without-god-aftermath (links accessed May 14, 2016).
Moderated Dialogue
MODERATOR: Okay, thank you very much! So, the next part of our evening together is a moderated dialogue where I am the moderator. [Audience laughter] I think we have about 20 minutes or so of this, and then we’re going to move to an audience question and answer period after that.[14] So, I guess I’d like to start off in kind of a general way. Since you both listened to the other person give their presentations, and maybe I’ll start with Dr. Craig because Kevin had an opportunity to respond to some of what you said. But if you had a question, having listened to Dr. Scharp just now, would you want to get us started with a particular kind of question?
DR. CRAIG: Sure! Well, thank you for that very robustious response! I think that the YouTube video of this event will repay close study, since this was like drinking from a fire hose tonight. [Audience laughter] This will be valuable for people in the future, I think. I do have a question about something you said that rather puzzled me.
DR. SCHARP: Sure.
DR. CRAIG: You characterized weak theism as having a greater than 50 percent confidence level.
DR. SCHARP: Right.
DR. CRAIG: And then talked about how I draw stronger conclusions than that. I think this was the so-called weakness problem, that I draw stronger conclusions from arguments whose premises, I say, are simply more plausible than their contradictories.
DR. SCHARP: That’s right.
DR. CRAIG: Now, the way I understand this, Kevin, is that what I was trying to do is to set minimum thresholds for reasonable theistic belief --
DR. SCHARP: Good.
DR. CRAIG: -- and the idea there was that in a deductive argument, if the conjunction of the premises is more plausible than not, then that suffices for what you said, a weak theism, a confidence in theism.
DR. SCHARP: Right.
DR. CRAIG: Now, I myself think that those premises are far more plausible than not.
DR. SCHARP: Good.
DR. CRAIG: But that’s just meant to set a minimum threshold to get somebody like yourself into the kingdom.
[Audience laughter]
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, that’s what you should be doing.
DR. CRAIG: So, it seems to me there really isn’t a weakness problem there.
DR. SCHARP: I don’t get in the kingdom unless I believe, right?
DR. CRAIG: Right, so I want to set the threshold low.
DR. SCHARP: Fifty-one percent is not enough for belief. Belief requires higher confidence than that.
DR. CRAIG: Ah, okay, then I misunderstood what you were saying. I thought you were saying that a confidence level of 51 percent would be enough for having a weak theistic belief.
DR. SCHARP: No, weak theism. So, thinking that theism is more probable than not—but that doesn’t justify you in saying I believe God exists or I know God exists. That’s what you want.
DR. CRAIG: Okay, then I misunderstood what you were saying. Now, suppose I have a confidence in the premises of these arguments that leads me to think that the conclusion is true. If the logic is valid and I think that the premises taken together are more plausible than not, then it follows that the conclusion is true. So why would I not believe the conclusion?
DR. SCHARP: Yes, good! So this is, I think, a good example of why the debate shouldn’t be cast in terms of belief. Right? You said, “I think the conclusion is true.” You believe the conclusion is true.
DR. CRAIG: Fine.
DR. SCHARP: But instead, it makes more sense to cast them in terms of confidence levels. If you have 51 percent on all of your confidence levels for the premises of the argument and it’s a deductive argument, then your conclusion isn’t going to end up somehow being 70 or 80 percent confidence, right?
DR. CRAIG: Well, all those probability levels for the premises do is set a minimum level for the probability of the conclusion in a deductive argument, and it could be much higher.
DR. SCHARP: So, let me try to rephrase: Your minimum level needs to be much higher in order to get your conclusion to convince somebody to believe that God exists, as opposed to just say, I think it’s more probable than not. Those are different.
DR. CRAIG: Well, it puzzles me. If you think it’s more probable than not, if you think this is more probably true than false, I would guess I would say that is enough for belief.
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, not according to contemporary epistemology, and the Bayesianism that you yourself have used frequently to formulate probability claims and so forth. Fifty-one percent, that’s super variable, it goes up and down. Think about the Hillary example I just gave. I’m at 51 percent for Hillary winning, right?
DR. CRAIG: Yeah.
DR. SCHARP: Does that mean I believe Hillary’s going to win? No.
DR. CRAIG: Well, I suppose that is going to depend on how much confidence you think is required for belief.
DR. SCHARP: I agree, it does. Yeah.
DR. CRAIG: Do you have a threshold of how much confidence is required to believe something?
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, in my example I put it at 80. You could put it at 70 if you want, somewhere in there. It’s going to be context dependent to some extent, depending on the topic at hand, but it’s surely not 51.
DR. CRAIG: That sounds like you just plucked that out of the air.
[Audience laughter]
DR. SCHARP: I did! It’s just an example, but it’s got to be way higher than 51 percent, or at least considerably higher than that for a belief.
DR. CRAIG: All right; [to moderator] well, that was the question I wanted to address.[15]
DR. SCHARP: So, just as a recommendation for when you think about this in the future, I would look at work on confidence levels and outright belief and knowledge and see exactly whether you can argue that 51 percent is good enough for belief. I would expect that would be your move next time.
MODERATOR: Can I just ask about that? I take it that part of what Dr. Craig’s question is, is if I have, say, a 51 percent confidence level in some proposition and that’s greater than my confidence level in the negation of that proposition—
DR. SCHARP: Which would be at 49.
[Audience laughter]
MODERATOR: —then the question is belief or not belief isn’t “haven’t I done enough” in terms of a conversation like this or a debate like this to show that in terms of this evidence for God, or some reason to believe in the existence of God, isn’t that enough for these kinds of purposes?

DR. SCHARP: Professor Craig wants to say that he knows God exists, and he wants to say that these arguments should entitle a person, if they accept these arguments as good arguments, to know that God exists.

DR. CRAIG: But I never made any claims about the level of confidence that one has in God.
DR. SCHARP: I know, you should have been. This is something to have been thinking about.
DR. CRAIG: I’m not sure that’s true though, Kevin. I’m not even sure how one could measure that. I mean, theists must be all over the map in terms of their degree of confidence.
DR. SCHARP: I agree.
DR. CRAIG: Some people like Kierkegaard or others have held to theistic beliefs despite great doubts and great existential Angst—
DR. SCHARP: Absolutely!
DR. CRAIG: —and others may have a more confident and buoyant belief in God, and it doesn’t seem to me that there is any sort of non-arbitrary level that you could set to say this is required to be a theist.
DR. SCHARP: I’m not saying it’s required to be a theist; I’m saying it’s required for belief. I’m saying there’s a way that belief and confidence levels interact, and there’s a certain threshold that you need to reach in order to get to belief, and that you don’t appreciate in the way that you formulate your arguments.
MODERATOR: Because we only have about 15 more minutes here, let’s move on to another argument. One thing that Dr. Scharp mentioned that I thought was pretty interesting, just as somebody who follows these arguments only a little bit and don’t really work in this area, was this appeal to the divine psychology argument, and I was wondering what you thought about that and the way in which some of these arguments make claims about what God wants or what God plans, and at the same time it seems like we must have very little idea about what God’s psychology is like.
DR. CRAIG: Right, and I would agree with that—that we wouldn’t know a whole lot about divine psychology, about what God would do under certain circumstances. But I don’t see that that plays a significant role in the kalam argument, for example, whose premises are very simple - that if the universe began to exist and if it did there must be a transcendent cause. I don’t see any role played in that argument by divine psychology.
DR. SCHARP: So far it doesn’t, with the way you just laid it out. But what you need to think about is, there are two issues. One is you formulate it mostly as an inference to the best explanation tonight, but usually you formulate it as a deductive argument.
DR. CRAIG: Well, I did both tonight, didn’t I? I think the arguments can be formulated either way, inductively or deductively.
DR. SCHARP: Those are different kinds of arguments, and the kalam as an inductive argument is very different from the kalam as a deductive argument. I think you should keep it as a deductive argument. It works much better for you, because you don’t appeal to God as an explanatory device in that way.
DR. CRAIG: So, are you saying that in the way I presented it tonight it isn’t vulnerable to your divine psychology objection?
DR. SCHARP: It is. I haven’t gotten to that yet. So, in the way that you lay out the premises, you say, There’s got to be something that caused the universe to come into being, and let’s call that thing God. Okay, great. Well, how would I know that God even would create the universe? If I don’t feel like I’m justified in believing that God would do that, then why would I be justified in naming whatever caused the universe God?
DR. CRAIG: Yeah—well, I attempt to deduce some of the properties of the cause of the universe—
DR. SCHARP: Yes.
DR. CRAIG: —and through such an analysis, what I derive is quite a striking number of theologically significant attributes – that this cause must be beginningless, uncaused, timeless, spaceless, immaterial, enormously powerful, personal—
DR. SCHARP[Agreeing throughout] That’s the best one.
DR. CRAIG: —creator of the universe. Now that, I think, is a rich enough concept to be called God, apart from psychology.
DR. SCHARP: Great. Now, let’s think for a minute. Why think that that thing would create the universe? And if it wouldn’t, there’s no reason to call whatever caused the universe to exist God, even if it’s personal, even if it’s timeless.
DR. CRAIG: It would be a personal creator of the universe.[16] Now, it would be a very strange form of atheism that admitted that there exists a timeless, spaceless, immaterial, enormously powerful, personal creator of the universe.
[Audience laughter]
DR. SCHARP: Yes.
DR. CRAIG: Whether you call it God or not.
DR. SCHARP: I agree. I don’t agree with that part of the argument, I’m only pointing out a different problem with the entire thing.
DR. CRAIG: Okay, I guess I just don’t see the problem.
[Audience laughter]
In the fine-tuning argument—
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, do the fine-tuning argument. This is another good case.
DR. CRAIG: —there’s an element of psychology in that one. It says that the fine-tuning of the universe is more probable given theism than it is given naturalism.
DR. SCHARP: Good, that’s great.
DR. CRAIG: And there it seems to me that all the theist needs to do is to show that it’s not improbable that God would want to create a finely-tuned universe. And that is surely going to be much, much more probable than, on naturalism, all of these constants and quantities' falling by accident into the life-permitting zone.
DR. SCHARP: Good. I’m not going to get sucked into that. Trying to have a discussion about what God would do or what he wouldn’t do or anything like that, that’s all divine psychology, and it’s all equally murky and unclear, and I don’t think we have any good reason to believe any of that stuff. So, if you want to push the fine-tuning argument, then what you need to do is say that the chances that God would create the universe are actually better than the chances that it was created randomly, given this fine-tuning.
DR. CRAIG: Yeah.
DR. SCHARP: And you don’t do that.
DR. CRAIG: Pardon me?
DR. SCHARP: You don’t argue that.
DR. CRAIG: Well, I think I do—
DR. SCHARP: Well, let’s hear that. I want to hear that.
DR. CRAIG: Robin Collins, in particular, does that in his formulations of the fine-tuning argument. What he argues is that the naturalist would have to show that there’s some sort of significant improbability in the designer's creating a finely-tuned universe. And the probability of these constants and quantities' falling into the life-permitting zone is so incomprehensible—
DR. SCHARP: I know, they’re very small. I get it.
DR. CRAIG: —that the atheist could never demonstrate that it’s less probable than that that a designer would want to create a finely-tuned world.
DR. SCHARP: Why not? Why assume that? Why not actually do the calculation and show me how likely it is that God would create the universe. What’s the calculation? What’s the probability? Is it like 1:1010?
DR. CRAIG: You can’t put numbers on this kind of—
DR. SCHARP: You can’t, I agree, you can’t. And that means you can’t conclude what you want to conclude from the fine-tuning.
DR. CRAIG: What you could say is given an intelligent designer of the universe, it’s not improbable that he would finely-tune it for the existence of life.
DR. SCHARP: Justify that. Why think that it’s not improbable that God would create a universe at all?
DR. CRAIG: You don’t have to show that it’s not improbable, but simply that the probabilities are not as low as all of these constants and quantities' falling by accident into the life-permitting zone, and that is so absurdly improbable that I think that it outstrips any sort of uncertainty with respect to saying that a designer of the universe would finely-tune the universe for agents.
DR. SCHARP: Excellent. So, why isn’t it absurdly improbable that God would create the universe?
DR. CRAIG: It’s not absurdly improbable because God could have good reasons for doing that. He could want to create persons who could know him.
DR. SCHARP: He could, but that’s not the basis for trying to calculate a probability. He could have reasons, yes, but you need to justify that he does have reasons.
DR. CRAIG: Yeah, but the burden of proof here is on the atheist to show that this is somehow less probable than the constants and quantities' falling into the life-permitting zone by accident, and the theist doesn’t need to show that it is probable, just to turn back the atheist's objections from divine psychology that this is highly, highly unlikely that a designer would want to do this. It seems to me that if a designer is good, he might very well want to create finite persons who could have a relationship with him.
DR. SCHARP: He might. As you’re fond of saying on your podcast, the burden of proof falls on the person making the assertion.
MODERATOR: Good, I want to move on to…
[Audience laughter]
…one more thing. This has been very good so far, but I’m just conscious of time.

DR. SCHARP: Do I get to ask my question?

MODERATOR: Yeah, if you would like to ask a question.
DR. SCHARP: So, Professor Craig, I wanted to ask you a question about love.
DR. CRAIG: Love?
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, love. So, you’ve said that all Christians have a duty to love God and you know, certainly one of the essential aspects of God’s message is, If you love me and believe in me, you’re going to go to heaven, otherwise you’ll suffer eternal damnation in hell.[17] And if we just distill out the kind of core message there, it’s something like, Love me or I’m going to make you suffer. [Audience laughter] So, being a Christian is fundamentally, to put this sort of extortionist concept of love at the center of your life, it seems to me like kind of going through life with a gun to your head.
DR. CRAIG: Yeah --
DR. SCHARP: Or even better, maybe going through life with a gun to your soul.
DR. CRAIG: Yeah --
DR. SCHARP: So, I want to ask you: How can you possibly think that’s love, or recommend this kind of relationship to other people?
DR. CRAIG: Yeah, Kevin, I don’t think that. I think that’s a gross caricature of Christianity—
DR. SCHARP: Good. Say why.
DR. CRAIG: —and if that’s what you think, it’s no wonder you would reject it.
[Audience laughter and applause]
DR. SCHARP: Good. Let me hear that.
DR. CRAIG: What the Bible says is that because of our own freely chosen evil and moral wrongdoing, we find ourselves spiritually alienated from God and morally guilty before him, and culpable before him. But God loves us so much that he has sent his Son into the world as a sacrificial offering to bear the punishment for our wrongdoing, so that we might be forgiven and reconciled and come to know him and have eternal life, and it’s up to us whether we want to accept that grace or not.
DR. SCHARP: And if we don’t?
DR. CRAIG: And those who refuse it, you see, they refuse his forgiveness, and so find themselves still in this state of spiritual alienation, culpability, and condemnation.
DR. SCHARP: They find themselves there.
DR. CRAIG: And if they die in that state, they go into a state of eternal separation from God. But it’s not God who rejects them, it’s they who reject God.
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, but God is still saying, If you don’t love me and believe in me, you’re going to go to hell and suffer. Right? Is that wrong? I thought this was Christianity?
DR. CRAIG: Yeah, that is wrong. What he’s saying is, You’re already morally guilty and culpable. You’re drowning! But I am going to save you if you will let me. But if you repulse me, if you push me away, then God has no choice.
DR. SCHARP: Oh, that’s so unfortunate for God, he has no choice but to condemn the unbelievers to hell!
DR. CRAIG: Well, I mean, in one sense it is unfortunate.
MODERATOR: If I could just…I’m not sure that this—
DR. CRAIG: I mean, the Bible says that God pleads with people to—
MODERATOR: This is a very interesting line of discussion, but I’m not sure that it really relates to either the arguments you laid out or the argument that you laid out.
DR. CRAIG: No, it doesn’t.
DR. SCHARP: It does actually, because I think one of the major important issues for understanding Christianity is the concept of love and God’s love, and it does serve as evidence against Christianity to think that the concept of love here is not genuine love. That is a legitimate point.
MODERATOR: Okay.
[Audience laughter]
In our last couple of minutes, I wanted to ask one more question related to something that Dr. Scharp presented, and then there’s a question that I want to ask each of you to address to the audience. In some of what you presented, in one specific place, you said you’re not on board with a kind of reductive naturalism.
DR. SCHARP: That’s right.
MODERATOR: And I just wanted you to say a little bit more about that because sometimes when you see debates like this, there are these physicists or other people who are arguing really hard to basically prove that God doesn’t exist because God isn’t part of any sort of natural science or scientific explanation. And it seems like you’re backing away from a kind of strong naturalistic claim, but what does that really come to in terms of a discussion like this?
DR. SCHARP: I think those are terrible arguments. I think we have no reason to believe that everything can be reductively explained in terms of science, and one of Professor Craig’s main thrusts in his arguments is that moral values and duties cannot be reductively explained in terms of science, and I agree 100 percent with him. But the atheist is not saddled with that position, and instead can adopt a much more reasonable position that reductive naturalism is false and no part of atheism whatsoever. I think that’s just a terrible way for the atheist to go. There’s no reason to take on a gigantic explanatory burden when you don’t need to.
MODERATOR: So just for people out here, what is a non-reductive naturalism?
DR. SCHARP: So non-reductive naturalism would say there are moral values—they’re real, they’re objective, but you cannot explain them in terms of science.
MODERATOR: Okay, good.
DR. CRAIG: My position would be, the theist has an explanatory ground for the objectivity of moral values and duties, which are not available to the atheist. For the atheist, he can certainly affirm these, but they’re just sort of hanging in the air. There isn’t any sort of explanatory ground for them, especially for moral duties. Why would we have a moral prohibition or obligation to do certain things if there is no moral lawgiver?[18] It seems to me that duty is very mysterious on an atheistic view.
MODERATOR: Sure, there are arguments in the history of moral philosophy, lots of arguments about moral duties that are objective that come from a secular background, right? And I’m sure you’re aware of those.
DR. CRAIG: Of course, but that doesn’t mean that they’re adequate. It’s not enough just to list them. I mean, after all, they can’t all be right, because they’re mutually contradictory.
DR. SCHARP: But that aspect of them can be right. The not-reductive naturalist, objective, no appeal to God—that can be right.
DR. CRAIG: Yeah, I’ve tried to deal with some of these. For example, what I call atheistic moral Platonism or humanism, which sees human flourishing as the good. And it seems to me that all of these ultimately prove to be explanatorily inadequate.
MODERATOR: I see. Okay. So, it’s not that they sort of don’t make any sense at all, it’s that ultimately you think they fail as moral theories for some specific reason.
DR. CRAIG: Right, they’re explanatorily inadequate in that they don’t have a plausible and non-arbitrary grounding for moral value and duty, which the theist has. I mean, theism is a superior moral theory in terms of its grounding of these.
MODERATOR: Okay, good. Okay, so unfortunately we’re coming to the end of this time, but I have a last question that the Veritas Forum wanted me to ask of each of you, and it’s basically something the answer should be addressed, I think, to the audience, everyone here. So, it seems likely that each of you would agree that a university like Ohio State should be a place where people genuinely explore different ideas and weigh the evidences of various worldviews. And if we’re intellectually honest, people should be open to changing our belief systems if the evidence merits this change. Based on tonight, what would you challenge Ohio State students to do or to consider going forward? Would you like to start? [Motioning to Dr. Craig]
DR. CRAIG: Sure, I would encourage students who are interested to begin to read some of the literature on this material, particularly from the standpoint of Christian theism. There’s a wealth of material available on our website ReasonableFaith.org. And I would encourage students to avail themselves of the articles that are there. On YouTube there are many debates that you can listen to, as well as lectures. There’s a great wealth of material on all of these different arguments that I’ve shared tonight that’s available on the website. And you might think about taking some philosophy courses here at OSU in order to acquaint yourself more with this material.

DR. SCHARP[Thumbs up]
[Audience laughter]
MODERATOR: Hear, hear! Good! Thank you. Dr. Scharp?
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, the advice I would have would be: Think critically. Subject your beliefs to critical scrutiny, and if they do not hold up, change them. By doing that, you end up crafting your own belief system that you can use to live your life in the 21st century instead of relying on borrowed beliefs from whoever raised you. In the case of Christianity, you’re relying on beliefs from the Iron Age. Thanks!
MODERATOR: Okay, thanks!
[Audience applause]
MODERATOR: All right, if you can hear me, I think we’re going to start the last portion of the evening with your audience questions. The first question that comes in to us is for each of the speakers. I’ll start with Dr. Scharp, but then also ask the question of Dr. Craig. Why do you care if someone holds your atheistic or theistic views?
DR. SCHARP: I don’t really care whether other people are atheists, but I do care about whether people think critically about the best way to behave as a human being, about the best way to organize ourselves into groups, the best way to have a government or an election or an economy and what have you. And I think that if you are pledging allegiance to a certain religious view without thinking critically about it, then that often leads you to say things that I think are rather arbitrary and rather unhelpful in these other situations. So, I’ve got nothing against someone who is a theist but willing to think critically about all of these other issues and in fact divorce the positions that they take on social issues from what might be prescribed by the church.
MODERATOR: Dr. Craig?
DR. CRAIG: I believe that the ultimate purpose for which humanity was created was to be in relation with God.[19] God is the fulfillment of human existence. He is an incommensurable good, the locus of infinite value and love, and to know God and to be related to him forever is the end for which human beings were created. So, that’s why I think belief in God is so important – it is the first step toward coming into a relationship with God, experiencing his love, coming to know him and his forgiveness, and being in communion with God for eternity, which is a good than which no greater could be conceived.
MODERATOR: Okay. The second question is for Dr. Craig. It says, “Why does Dr. Craig believe the universe needs a reason for existing?”
DR. CRAIG: Now, I’m not clear whether this is in reference to my contingency argument or the kalam argument. With respect to the kalam argument, I think it’s very clear why there would need to be a cause of the universe, because something can’t come out of nothing. If you think about it, that’s worse than magic, to say the universe just popped into being uncaused. So, clearly in that sense there would need to be a cause.
With respect to the first argument, the contingency argument, think again about the ball in the woods. The ball can exist but it doesn’t have to exist. So, what’s the difference between the ball and say, unicorns, which can exist but do not exist? The difference is that the ball has an explanation of its existence. And just making the ball bigger until it’s the size of the universe doesn’t do anything to remove the need for an explanation. The universe is just big, and the size of something doesn’t do anything to explain why it exists or to remove the need for an explanation.
MODERATOR: Okay. Dr. Scharp, third question. And this is picking up on where we were near the end of our last part. If God does not exist, how could there be absolute moral values?

DR. SCHARP: Well, there can be absolute moral values because they’re grounded in something other than God. For example, rationality or harm or any one of a number of different positions. And there’s lots of professional ethicists who are working on good theories of what makes good things good and bad things bad, what makes right things right and wrong things wrong, and there’s a ton of these theories that appeal to harm or rationality or what have you, and no appeal to God whatsoever. The values that these theories explain are objective, they’re independent of what anybody believes about them. They’re not the sort of thing that you would get by saying it’s a sort of herd mentality that arrives by evolution. That’s just not any part of these views. And so, there’s a perfectly good explanation for how moral values and duties exist, even in a godless world.
MODERATOR: Just as a follow up to that, is there anything added by the idea of having a lawgiver, which seemed to be one of the main points that Dr. Craig was—
DR. SCHARP: No, I don’t think so. I think that the existence of God is not a good explanation. It doesn’t predict anything, it doesn’t retrodict anything, it doesn’t explain anything. The existence of God doesn’t make the probability that there would be moral duties any higher.

MODERATOR: I’m going to keep trying to move along on these questions. It seems like you could both chime in on any of these questions, but since some of them are directed at just one or either, it seems it’s nice to try to get in as many as possible. So, I would always give you an opportunity to respond. Okay, “Professor Scharp has not presented much evidence for the non-existence of God. Does he have any to present?”

DR. SCHARP: I thought I gave a confidence argument. Who wrote that?
[Audience laughter]
I gave a whole argument about this. Think about the evidence that’s out there. Let’s take the Christian God and the evidence that’s out there is a bunch of ancient manuscripts, and if you’re going to say that God is the best explanation for those claims made in these ancient manuscripts, then you’re making a claim that conflicts with our best scientific theories in biology and chemistry and physics, and you should have much higher confidence—I don’t mean by a little bit, I mean by a mile—in those scientific theories than you do in any claim about what needs to be explained in some ancient manuscript.
That’s the argument.[20] It has to do with saying that you should have a higher confidence in our best scientific theories than in any existing evidence for any god. I can imagine better evidence for a god, but we don’t have anything like that right now. So, I’m not saying there’s no such thing as miracles, there’s no possibility that I would ever believe something supernatural. Of course, I could believe something like that. But given the evidence we have right now, you’re way better off believing in our best scientific theories.

DR. CRAIG: One of the things that puzzled me that I wanted to address during our Q and A time is that my appeal has been precisely to our best scientific theories! I’m not proposing alternatives to standard big bang cosmology, fine-tuning of the universe, or the applicability of mathematics to the physical world. I don’t see any conflict here at all, because it is our best scientific theories that support some of the key premises in these theistic arguments.
DR. SCHARP: I dispute that, but those arguments that you’re pointing out are arguments for theism in general. They’re not arguments for Christianity.
DR. CRAIG: Right! Which was the topic tonight, right? The topic was “Is There Evidence for God?”
DR. SCHARP: Is God capitalized in the title? I’ll bet it is. And that means that you’re talking about the Christian God there.
DR. CRAIG: Oh, no, the—
MODERATOR: Let me jump in, because the very next question…
[Audience laughter]
…is, “Dr. Craig, if God exists, why the Christian God?”
DR. SCHARP: Well, all right, there you go.
DR. CRAIG: The arguments that I presented tonight are arguments that are common property of Jews, Muslims, and Christians. They would be defended by, and have been defended historically by, persons in all of those great monotheistic traditions. The question of Christianity wasn’t on the table tonight. If I were asked to defend why I am not simply a monotheist but a Christian monotheist, then I would appeal to the person of Jesus of Nazareth. And ask ourselves, who was this first century Jew? What did he claim? What did he teach about himself? What do we know about him?
And I do think that the best historical evidence—and this is not superstition or things of that sort, we’re talking about serious historical Jesus scholarship—is that this man made radical personal claims about himself. And I think that the best explanation for the evidence concerning his ultimate fate is that God raised him from the dead in vindication of those claims and that therefore there’s quite good reason for being not simply a monotheist but a Christian monotheist.
MODERATOR[To Dr. Scharp] This, I take, right, is the resurrection argument that you represented in your slide with the arguments?
DR. SCHARP: Right, yeah. And I think that an explanation for the four facts that you usually cite there for the basis of the resurrection argument . . . anything that’s going to be compatible with our best theories in biology, chemistry, and physics is going to be a better explanation than that. So, for example, aliens took the body doesn’t sound like a very good explanation to me, but it’s a way better explanation than resurrection because aliens are at least compatible with our best scientific theories.
DR. CRAIG: Is that really what you’re going to appeal to?
[Audience laughter]
DR. SCHARP: It is! You’re really going to appeal to resurrection! Resurrection is incompatible --
DR. CRAIG: But, surely, that’s not right. You know enough about the literature concerning the problem of miracles—
DR. SCHARP: I do, I absolutely do. What’s your move now?
DR. CRAIG: —to realize that miracles are not incompatible with the laws of nature.
DR. SCHARP: Wrong! I disagree with that, and that is not right at all. Scientific theories do not have secret ceteris paribus clauses in front of them. No, they do not.
DR. CRAIG: Well . . . .
MODERATOR: All right, the next question from the audience…
[Audience laughter]
I don’t think I’m doing anything funny half the time that you laugh.
[More audience laughter]
DR. SCHARP[Smiling] There you go again.
MODERATOR: I think this must be for Dr. Scharp. “How is confidence level protected from bias or subjectivism? How does one measure confidence level beyond being confident or not confident?”
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, so confidence level is measured by your tendency to make various gambles using particular theories of rationality—decision theory, game theory, and so forth. And confidence levels are used throughout, well, philosophy, social sciences, all over the place, because they’re super helpful and they’re very precise. How are they not impacted by bias? They are! Of course they’re impacted by bias. Professor Craig is biased, I’m biased. You can’t but be biased, and the best that you can do is try to guard against cognitive biases the best way that you can, and that’s by thinking critically about your beliefs.
MODERATOR: Do you want to chime in on that one? [Referring to Dr. Craig]
DR. CRAIG: Only that I share the questioner's skepticism about confidence levels.[21] I, at least with respect to theism, when I introspect into my own life, I’m not sure how I would assess the confidence level that I have. I mean, I’m staking my life on this.
DR. SCHARP: Agreed.
DR. CRAIG: But I’m not sure what confidence level I have. I don’t know how to even answer a question like that.
MODERATOR: Can I follow up on that a little bit to say we’ve focused a lot on arguments and evidence and the kinds of reasons we can bring to bear either in favor or against the existence of God, but it does seem in just a sort of a layperson sense, it does seem a lot of what we’re doing is butting up against the limits of what we can really understand and reason. You know, when you start talking about things, about the beginning of the universe, for instance, or some kind of a transcendent cause and what that could even mean when it’s sort of outside of space and time, and I guess one way to pose this question would have to do with faith. Say, what’s the place of faith when we’re butting up against the limits of reason? Another way to put it would be to say, how much of this can we even be reasonably articulating either for or against, and how much of this is, I guess, essentially never going to be settled? Do either of you want to take on some version of that question?
DR. SCHARP: Do you want that one? [Referring to Dr. Craig]
DR. CRAIG: Yeah . . . I think that we do have conceptual clarity about what we’re talking about. I mean, with respect to the beginning of the universe, contemporary cosmology is shot through with metaphysical and philosophical concepts. And so I do think we have a fairly clear grasp of these concepts. They are very strange and alien, I think, probably to the average person. But philosophers talk about things like God’s atemporality or his relationship to time, or divine aseity. I’m working on divine aseity and abstract objects right now. You can’t get something much more ethereal than that. And yet, I think we have good conceptual clarity about a lot of these questions, even though they’re very far removed from mundane affairs.
But I continue to come back to this strange question about belief and confidence. I believe that these premises are true. I believe that the conclusions to the arguments are true. But if you were to ask me about confidence, I just don’t have any sort of way of assessing that. I simply believe that the evidence points to the truth of these and that the conclusions are therefore true.
DR. SCHARP: Good, but the way that you formulate them is you say that they’re more probable than not. So, you do think that your confidence level is higher than 50 percent with respect to the premises.
DR. CRAIG: Yes.
DR. SCHARP: So you do have a way of assessing it.
DR. CRAIG: Okay, but you said that that degree of confidence isn’t enough for belief.
DR. SCHARP: Yeah, you need a certain level of confidence for outright belief or knowledge.
DR. CRAIG: Yeah, that’s what’s not clear to me. I don’t see why it needs to pass some threshold in order to believe, because I certainly do believe these premises, I do believe the conclusions, but I wouldn’t know how to put a figure on confidence. Am I 75 percent, am I 80 percent, am I 65? I wouldn’t even know how to answer a question like that.
DR. SCHARP: So, there’s more work to do then, perhaps. [Smiling]
MODERATOR: One last question. I know we’ve just gone over time. But it’s an important question, so I don’t want to fail to ask it. I’m going to move over to the podium as I ask it, because I have then some closing comments about what will happen afterwards. So, you’ve both presented arguments in favor of your view and against the view you disagree with. But when you think about your own view, is there any part of it that you personally struggle with the most, that you see as a potential failing in the view and that makes you worry about your own view? Is there something you worry about in your own view, or in the other person’s view that you think is onto something that makes you think?
DR. CRAIG: Yeah, I had a worry about God’s relationship to abstract objects like numbers and propositions and possible worlds and things. It seemed to me that these were uncreated realities and were therefore incompatible with the existence of God because God is the creator of everything apart from himself. But over the last dozen years, I’ve been studying this problem and have come to some resolution of it, where I feel quite good about this. So this worry doesn’t bother me anymore.
MODERATOR: Because it is interesting, because the arguments do change over time—over the centuries, over the decades—the kinds of arguments that are offered. So, we do find that some arguments don’t work as well as others, and then we—[22]
DR. CRAIG: I am constantly thinking about these things, reflecting on them. I want to second the importance of what Kevin Scharp said about critical thinking about your own beliefs. This is something that I am constantly engaged in doing as a philosopher, and I’ve changed my mind about a number of things in the process of doing so.
MODERATOR: Thanks! Dr. Scharp, is there something that personally worries you about your own view, or something in the opponent’s view that worries you?
DR. SCHARP: I’m not worried about the arguments for it or the cogency of the view or anything like that. But there are certain aspects of being an atheist that are unpleasant to some extent. But I think there’s also much to be happy about, so it’s not that there’s something that worries me about the position, about the theoretical position. It’s rather how do you go about living life as a human being who’s struggling just like you, and you to figure out how we should live and what we should do and what we should believe and all of those things. We’re all in the same boat there. And so I think that the worries I have are associated with that more than the sort of cogency of the view.
MODERATOR: Well, thank you both! So, we’ve reached the end of our time, and so I have just a closing statement about what’s coming next. What we want to do first is make note of a very important thing—that there are going to be doughnuts and coffee provided afterwards.
[Audience applause]
I think those must be the undergraduates clapping. So, if you would like to stick around and discuss any of this further with either of the speakers or with any members from our sponsoring organizations, they’re all going to be around. Dr. Craig and Dr. Scharp in particular will be at each end of the stage, and if your question was not asked during Q and A, you’re welcome to form a line and ask them a question. Please keep your questions brief. Be mindful that others are going to be waiting also to be asking their questions. So, finally, on behalf of the Veritas Forum and our sponsors, thank you very much for your attendance and participation and thank you to both of our speakers.
[Audience applause]
[Speakers standing and shaking hands][23]

[14] 34:59
[15] 40:01
[16] 45:01
[17] 49:59
[18] 55:02
[19] 1:00:00
[20] 1:05:00
[21] 1:10:04
[22] 1:15:07
[23] Total Running Time: 1:17:55

Saturday, 27 February 2016

Explaining Scientism to a Religious Apologist

1 Introduction

A Christian Apologist accuses me of scientism,  and simultaneously demonstrates a spectacular lack of understanding of what that means. 

1.1 The wrong definition

First he provides his own definition of the term:  "that an unacknowledged faith-based subscription to the philosophy of mindless mechanistic materialism represents ultimate reality".

You may have noticed that's not a definition of scientism. If you strip away the superfluous words and tautology, all he is doing is saying that I'm a materialist.  

1.2 The wrong person

Secondly he provides a quote from Rupert Murdoch which describes modern science: "give us one free miracle and we'll explain the rest". Yes you're right - he's confused Rupert Murdoch with Rupert Sheldrake, which is amusing. But even funnier - the quote comes from Terence McKenna, who was a mystic and a psychonaut, and a believer in miracles.  

1.3 The wrong definition (again)
The quote suggests that science is founded on a miracle, specifically the appearance of our universe from nothing.  But this argument ignores the definition of "miracle"

"an extraordinary and welcome event that is not explicable by natural or scientific laws and is therefore attributed to a divine agency."

According to Shekdrake...

"And the one free miracle is the appearance of all the matter and energy in the universe and all the laws that govern it from nothing at a single instant."

What Sheldrake (and McKenna) make the false assumption that the laws of nature appeared with the Big Bang. It's actually the other way round - the Big Bang was a natural process defined by the laws of nature. Science can only aim to explain the appearance of our universe using natural or scientific laws, so by definition, that would not be a miracle. 

1.4 The wrong description
Finally the Apologist refers to Rupert Sheldrake's "Ten dogmas of Scientism". What Sheldrake actually wrote was the "Ten Dogmas of Modern Science."  So it seems the Apologist would like scientism to be equivalent to science, but of course it isn't. 


2 The Actual Definition of Scientism

What scientism actually means is the assumption that science can be the only source of knowledge, where all knowledge can be reduced to that which is measurable. This is obviously a bogus idea, as Karl Popper (among many others) pointed out.  

The truth is that science provides models of reality based on theories that have been tested. Anything which, by its nature, cannot be tested or measured is obviously beyond science, and is "unfalsifiable". 

2.1 Non-overlapping Magisteria
This is the view presented by Stephen Jay Gould that science and religion each represent different areas of inquiry, The two domains do not overlap.

So science should not, and cannot, be used to demonstrate that God does not exist, or that God exists, because God is unfalsifiable. Therefore, any argument about science on a religion db seems futile and pointless to me.

2.2 Can Faith and Science Coexist?
Of course, because they are complementary. They represent different areas of inquiry (see 2.2). Many scientists are also people of faith. A prime example is  Francis Collins, a devout Christian who led the human genome project. In his book "The Language of God" he explains how and why he turned to faith, and his hypothesis of theistic evolution.

3 Sheldrake's Ten Dogmas of Modern Science 

Sheldrake's ten points are listed below. I will ignore the misuse of the word "dogma" and treat each point individually:

1. Everything is mechanical; only mechanistic explanations will do.  
2. Matter is unconscious / inanimate.  
3. The matter and energy of the universe is constant, and has remained constant since the Big Bang. 
4. The laws of nature are fixed.  
5. Nature is without inherent purpose, and evolution has no goal.  
6. Biological inheritance is a purely material process.  
7. Minds are located within heads, and are nothing but the activities of brains.  
8. Memories are stored in the brain, and are wiped out at death.  
9. Telepathy and other psychic phenomena are illusory.  
10. Mechanistic medicine is the only kind that works.

1) Maybe, maybe not. Impossible to know.  In any case, the statement rests on a false dichotomy. The fact is that science has been surprisingly successful in modelling reality, including, complex organisms in mechanistic terms, with no need for the supernatural. Castigating biological science for not having produced anything else than mechanistic explanations, when those in fact have been staggeringly successful, amounts to little but a case of petitio principii.

2) That seems to be the case at the atomic level, but not necessarily at the macroscopic level. Depends how you define matter and consciousness!  Castigating science for not considering that “matter” might be “conscious” (whatever that means) is pointless what we have here is special pleading and false equivocation. If a pebble on the beach is conscious, it is not conscious in the same sense, or by the same definitions, as we intend when talking about human subjects as being conscious.


3) Incorrect. The total energy of our universe has yet to be defined as the volume is unknown (and could be infinite for all we know). Our universe is expanding and according to General Relativity the energy density stays roughly the same but the energy could be increasing. And mass has to be taken into account.  The first law of thermodynamics doesn't actually specify that matter can neither be created nor destroyed as many Creationists like to assert - it actually says that the total amount of energy in a closed system cannot be created nor destroyed. It can however be changed from one form to another as mass and energy are essentially equivalent: E= mc^2 



4) False. The laws of nature are defined by human beings and they have been revised and created many times and continue to be.

5) False. Nature is full of inherent purposes - too many to count! The process of evolution ensures the survival of a species by adaptation to their environment. Is that a goal? Not sure.


6) Not strictly true. There's an element of randomness and unpredictability in genetics (and biology in general) due to the nature of matter. So some inherited traits can be predicted with great accuracy, some not. And some traits will not be inherited at all.


7) Not true. Every organism has a mind of some sort but not every organism has a head or a brain. 


8) This does appear to be the case. But it's impossible to know for sure.


9) False because telepathy is not a phenomenon. It has not been observed. Telepathy is a hypothesis used to explain c
ertain phenomena.

10) I'm not sure what "mechanistic medicine" is. For example, the placebo effect works. Is that mechanistic? Psychology works - is that mechanistic?




Wednesday, 17 February 2016

Randomness

From New Scientist

There was no place for randomness in 17th century science. Newtonian mechanics suggested that if you accurately measure enough data (trajectory, speed, air pressure, friction, etc.) you could calculate the precise outcome of a dice roll.  But such a calculation was too complex, so a dice roll was considered random because of a lack of information.  Laplace asserted that with enough information one could forecast everything that is going to happen in the universe – and, working backwards, everything that had happened. Such a universe leaves no room for free-will - everything is pre-determined. Thomas Aquinas was aware of this issue and asserted that the universe must contain randomness for humans to have autonomy.

Then in 1859,  Maxwell drew attention to the huge variations in outcome resulting from tiny factors affecting the collisions of molecules.  With a sufficiently complex system, even the tiniest lack of precision in measurement, or the slightest rounding error in a calculation, could drastically affect the result. This is why the weather so hard to predict - its future state is highly dependent on the initial measurements – and we can never have perfect initial measurements.

Quantum theory does away with cast-iron certainty entirely. "/It appears to us, via quantum experiments, that nature is fundamentally random,/" says Adrian Kent, a mathematician at the University of Cambridge.

Fire a single photon of light at a half-silvered mirror, and it might pass through or be reflected: quantum rules give us no way to tell beforehand. Give an electron a choice of two slits in a wall to pass through, and it chooses at random. Wait for a single radioactive atom to emit a particle, and you might wait a millisecond or a century. This rather lackadaisical attitude to classical certainties could even account for why we are here in the first place. A quantum vacuum containing nothing can randomly and spontaneously generate something. Such a careless energy fluctuation might best explain how our universe began.

The mathematics behind quantum physics starts with the Schrödinger equation, which describes how a quantum particle's properties evolve over time. An electron's position, for example, is given by an "amplitude" smeared over space, and there is a set of mathematical rules you can apply to find the probability that any particular measurement will pinpoint the electron to any particular position.

That's no guarantee the electron will be in that position at any one time. But by repeatedly doing the same measurement, resetting the system each time, the distribution of results will match the Schrödinger equation's predictions. The repeated, predictable patterns of the classical world are ultimately the result of many unpredictable processes.

Say you want to walk through a wall; quantum theory says it's possible. Each one of your atoms has a position that could – randomly – turn out to be on the other side of the wall when it interacts. That event's probability is exceedingly low, and the probability that all of your atoms will simultaneously locate to the other side of the wall is infinitesimally small. A nasty bruise is the sum of all the other probabilities. Welcome to reality.

Einstein was particularly exercised by this probabilistic approach to real-world events, famously complaining it was akin to God playing dice. He conjectured that there must be some missing information that would tell you the measurement's outcome in advance.

In 1964, the physicist John Bell laid out a way to test for such "hidden variables". His idea has since been implemented time and again, mainly using entangled pairs of photons. Entangled particles are a staple feature of the quantum world. They have interacted at some point in the past and now appear to have shared properties, such that a measurement on particle A will instantaneously affect what you get from a measurement on particle B, and vice versa.

What's behind this? The details of Bell's tests are complex and subtle, but the principle is akin to a sport in which two groups of experimenters play according to different rules. Team Alpha assumes that the quantum correlations are down to some hidden exchange of information, and make measurements accordingly. Team Beta, on the other hand, assumes the correlations materialise at random on measurement.

And Team Beta wins every time. The weird correlations of the quantum world derive from fundamental randomness.

Michael Brooks is a consultant for New Scientist

Daily Catholic Bible Reading 7 Januay 2016

United States Conference of Catholic Bishops

January 7 2016

Lectionary: 215




http://usccb.org/bible/readings/010716.cfm

1 John 4:19 5:4

Some good advice here to love one's brother (I would have added sisters too, but never mind). But then...

"For the love of God is this, that we keep his commandments."

OK God I confess I ate a bacon sandwich today.


Psalm 75 1:2 and 14, 15, 17

A lot of extravagant claims about God that don't appear to be supported by any evidence. Zzzzzzzzzz


Luke 4:18 and 14-22

Something of an overlap with yesterday's reading. This is a reading of Jesus reading. Except he doesn't just read the OT - he ad libs and adds His own content.

To be fair, it was probably the authors of Luke and Acts who added that extra stuff. Not Jesus.


---

With thanks as always to Steve Wells



Tuesday, 9 February 2016

What is Reality?


What is reality?

Infinite Monkey Cage
Transcription of BBC Podcast - 2 Feb 2016

Hosts

Robin Ince (RI): Comedian, actor and writer.

Professor Brian Cox (PBC): Physicist and Advanced Fellow of particle physics in the School of Physics and Astronomy at the University of Manchester.

Panellists:

David Eagleman (DE): Neuroscientist. Directs the Laboratory for Perception and Action at the Baylor College of Medicine, and also heads the Centre for Science and Law. He is best known for his work on sensory substitution, time perception, brain plasticity, synaesthesia, and neurolaw.

Professor Sophie Scott (SS): Deputy Director at the UCL Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience, researching the neuroscience of voices, speech and laughter.  

Bridget Christie (BC): Comedian, actress and writer




PBC

How do our brains put together our picture of the world? There clearly is a physical reality outside our brains, so when we ask the question what is reality, what are we actually asking?

DE

I’m asking - what do we perceive? We all have this private, subjective experience from the moment you wake up in the morning and you feel like you are being flooded with your senses, but that is a construction of your brain. It sometimes has very little to do with what’s in the outside world so of course there’s an objective reality out there, and the job of physics is to figure out what that looks like. But what you perceive, how you misperceive things, how you perceive colours and the taste of feta cheese and your whole world on the inside – that’s the part I’m interested in – that reality.

PBC

So the job of physics is to describe things as they really are and the job of biology is to sort out the mistakes?

[Laughter]

DE

Er… No! I see biology - neuroscience in particular - as a really strong inroad into understanding ourselves and why we have the kind of experiences we do, but we have to work through this filter of our psychology, the way we even build physics and there’s a lot of physics that we won’t have discovered yet or will be difficult to discover because of the way we are trapped inside of our own heads 

RI

So how much can we know of what kind of shared reality we actually have?

SS

Part of it comes from just doing straightforward, good psychology and investigating how people perceive stuff, and finding what is common across people and if you think about it if we didn’t have some shared reality then we wouldn’t be able to use language because words wouldn’t have the same meaning. If my meaning of red meant totally different to everyone else’s there’d be no point in having it for any kind of meaningful discussion with people.

Basically the history of a lot of psychology has been spelling out the tremendous mismatches between what the world feels like and what we are actually perceiving. And visual processing is a very good example. I feel if I am looking at everyone on the panel - I can see where David as and where Brian is but in fact I have a very poor representation of David and if he stuck his tongue out I wouldn’t be able to tell!

That’s because I’m looking directly at you Brian but when we look directly at things that’s where we have the best visual acuity, the best detail. It drops off very rapidly from there. We feel like we have a good representation because we move our eyes around and we fill in the gaps like someone doing a jigsaw, but at any one time we are seeing very little of it. And even more extraordinarily when you make those eyes movements, when you saccade your eyes around the world, your brain turns off visual processing so you see nothing at all.

So if you look at yourself in a mirror and you look from one eye to another you don’t see your eye moving because your brain is shutting it off. So you have experiences of a smooth visual reality that is simply not there

BC

So we are holding a 3d model in our brains and just updating it every now and again?

SS

You’re updating it continuously yes, but you never have access to all that information and you are guessing about what’s there if you havent actually looked there. You could remove half the audience and replace them with cats and I’d notice if I looked carefully but up until that point, unless I check I won’t know

RI

You mentioned mirrors – so how much of what we see is in terms of brain fabrication and filling in the gaps. There’s a thing that I’ve tried where if you stare directly into a mirror with a low light behind you and you stare directly into your own eyes - after about 2 minutes your head seems to change. Some people will suddenly appear very, very old. Other people see their heads pulsating, other people have this experience where their head seems to disappear. It’s quote a buzz…

PBC

Bridget, is this the life of a stand-up comic? Staring into your hotel room mirror for over 2 minutes to see if your head pulsated? Or is that just Robin Ince?

BC

I think that might be where I’m going wrong. No. I don’t tend to stare at myself – I would if it was for an experiment but I think it’s quite an odd thing to do to stare at yourself in the mirror for ages to see if you head starts moving.

RI

I don’t think that’s odd at all!

SS

It happens if you stare at anything because it’s a very unusual thing to do. What your eyes want to do is jump around the room and explore everything so if you stare at stuff crazy stuff happens around the edges.

RI

This is not mad is it? This is real! David! You’re from America – this is not mad! The audience now are staring at me so much I do feel my head is pulsating.

DE

This doesn’t rule in or out that you’re mad but it does illustrate the very important point about the internal model – your perception of the world has to do with this internal activity in your brain and you get just a little bit of data dribbling in through your eyes and that little bit of data can modulate what’s happening internally, but essentially everything you’re seeing is happening in the closed theatre of your cranium, that’s where the show it getting played.

So if you stop taking in information because you’re staring, and as Sophie pointed out, your eyes want to move around and gather data, so if you’re staring and leaving out what’s out there, your brain will start having its own reality trip. We experience this every night when we go to bed, we have our eyes closed and we still have a full, rich, visual experience but it’s unanchored from any data coming in, so you go off to any reality you want. And the really strange part is you believe whatever your brain is serving up to you. You’re in the middle of a dream and you buy the whole thing.

PBC

And what do we know about the physical processes that are happening in the brain, so when you’re building this model you’re seeing the external reality what is your brain actually doing

DE

The wrong way to think about it is that light hits your eyes, it works its way towards the back of your brain and then up to some end point, and then you see, like a camera. In fact it’s the opposite – your whole visual cortex, the back of your brain, is generating this world, essentially it’s generating hypotheses about what it expects is out there and then the little bit of data coming in to your eyes is compared against that model, and all what’s going back to the visual cortex is just the difference – the violation of those expectations – what it gets wrong. That’s what’s happening. So it’s like the system is running backwards from the way you might imagine it.



RI

Bridget. How disconcerting do you find this idea that our perceived reality – when we look at images -  you’re not seeing anything, we’re just fabricating this for you, for practical use, for speed, maybe to save energy, how do you feel about that Bridget?

BC

I find it quite comforting because I’m often told by people that I have no grasp on reality and now that I have this information, I’m able to say to them, “what is reality?” There is no reality. What you mean to say is you have no grasp on MY reality. What I’m really interested in since I read David’s book is, if we can agree there is shared reality, i.e. that the things that a lot of us see, a lot of us think are the same thing, how do two separate individuals have a shared reality that is not based in a common reality, so how do two different people see the same ghost?

PBC

Ghosts don’t exist… They don’t!

BC

No, but two separate people can have two experiences that is not a shared experience.

PBC

Of something that is not there?

BC

Yes!

PBC

I don’t accept that!

[Audience… Ooh!]

RI

Don’t be surprised! He’s a physicist!

DE

I can’t answer the ghost question because I’m with Brian on this one, there’s no evidence to support that ghosts exist.

BC

I’m not saying there are ghosts, but there are people who do believe and they are in different places.

DE

So I mentioned that your reality is constructed in this closed auditorium of your skull but the machinery in there is shaped by your genes and more importantly, your culture. Every experience you’ve ever had. So if people are in a culture where ghosts exist as part of the mythology then an interpretation of some external stimulus will naturally be interpreted in that framework. And it’s not surprising if several people in the same culture will have the same interpretation because of their shared history.



SS

And you find that with people saying I’ve toasted this piece of bread and I’ve seen a figure of the Virgin Mary in it – that never happen to people who are not already religious. It simply doesn’t happen. So you are over-interpreting something that is clearly there but it looks like something to you.

DE

I usually see brains in toast

RI

My bagel has Richard Dawkins in it.  “Don’t eat me!”

SS

But it only happens if you already believe in the larger phenomena. So atheists don’t find pictures of Jesus in toast - it doesn’t happen. It’s driven as David said, but their expectations and their beliefs are feeding in to this. Perception is highly interpretive. It’s not sitting around going “what’s going on, let’s have a look…”  It’s going “Oh is that a cat? Is that a ghost? Is that Jesus?”

DE

I just want to question how much is actually shared. So, we can transact in the outside world with the colour red, if I say “pass me the red thing” you will sort of know what I’m talking about, but beyond that, language is really low bandwidth and it doesn’t represent something that’s truly shared. So if I say “justice” that means something in my head and something in your head too and everyone has a different entire history of what that word might mean, and this is true of every word in our language. I think when we draw the diagram of overlap there’s not that much overlap between people perhaps.

RI

 In terms of within human cultures, what is the greatest disparity we see in different cultures in realities? We often hear time being used, different groups or different tribes, will have a different sense and feeling of the past and the future and the way that it is expressed.

SS

You definitely do find it. You can find differences actually in colour depending on whether or not you have words in your language for colours. So we only relatively recently got a word for orange - before then everything was red or yellow. And you can find environments where people speak a language that doesn’t have particular colour words, and they just don’t see colours that way, they describe a different spectrum. They are seeing the same world as you, but they are really not, at some level, seeing the same thing, and the argument is that language moderates that.

To go back to David’s point, you can consider language to be a map of the world and you fill in the details that you need. We kind of get by with a map that works for everybody, but say you want to learn a skill, be a wine taster or a doctor, you start learning new words to describe the perceptual stuff you need to know to do that. Any kind of expertise involves new words and new mappings.

You also find difference in emotional experience so you can find emotions that are expressed similarly across all human cultures, like laughter, and you also find other emotions that are extremely culture specific. For example there is a kind of mad fear associated with a particular Inuit culture where people go completely wild with fear, and they run around and they tear off their clothes and eat faeces and they steal things and then they go to bed remembering, absolutely nothing.

Now, we don’t have that construct of fear in our culture and we, on the whole, tend not go crazy, steal your things and eat faeces. We don’t do that. It’s an extreme example but there are other kinds of strong emotional experiences that are so culture specific it suggests there is not some universal experience.

PBC

David. Given that there’s a strong cultural element to the way we perceive the world and we’ve also heard that language plays a role, the language that you grew up with and learned determines your external model, how much of that model is innate, hard wired into the brain? And how much of it is learned and dependent on the culture that we grow up in?

DE

Much of it is shaped by the culture you happen to drop into, so one example is language. Babies are born able to hear any of the sounds of human languages, but as they are exposed to their native tongue, their map of sound space gets crafted, gets put into shape, so that they get really good at hearing particular sounds, and they become unable to hear other sounds. So for example a baby born in Japan can hear the difference between “R” and “L” sounds but as the baby gets older he or she loses the ability to discriminate those sounds. And so this is an example of being born sort of universally able to take in whatever the world is going to offer, and then the world shapes us and crafts us.



RI

Is that neural pruning? So we actually lose, but we gain more connections?

DE

Yes, you are actually getting more and more synapses during your first year (synapses are connections between specialised cells of the brain - the neurons) and you get more and more until by the time you are two years old you will have more than you will ever have in your life. Then it’s all about pruning back that overgrown garden, and that pruning is essentially a Darwinian process – whatever is resonating with the world and getting used stays around and gets strengthened, and the other stuff goes away.

PBC

I would imagine if I met a tribe that had never encountered anyone from outside their particular area before, I would imagine that I was looking out on the same world as them, I see the world in the same way. But are you suggesting that really that is not necessarily the case?

DE

Yeah, it’s all about your interpretation and their interpretation. So you would see something in the artwork that they show you that they don’t see and vice versa. I think what’s more interesting than cross cultural differences in reality are the differences we see within a culture. So for example, 1% of the population has schizophrenia and when someone is in the thick of a delusion, the same photons are hitting their eyes as yours, the same scene is hitting their eyes but they have a completely different interpretation of what’s going on. 3% of the population have synaesthesia which is a cross blending of the senses, so they might hear music and it causes them to see colours, to physically have a colour experience. So they are having a different experience of reality than you are. And even within your own life, moment to moment, you can have different interpretations.

I was hiking in Colorado a while ago and I was told by a guide, “By the way, there are a lot of bears around here.”  So then every shadow and movement I saw after that I thought was a bear, because my interpretation of the world had a different frame. So everything about how we perceive an object is about “us”, it’s about our unique, historical trajectory… what has crafted you from the moment you dropped into the world, your family of origin, your neighbourhood, your culture & experiences

PBC

Sophie. Why is our model of reality so subjective? Clearly the ability to build these sophisticated models of reality is Darwinian, it’s evolved. So why is there this element of cultural subjectivity?

SS

A certain amount of it is likely to be there because we all share broadly similar physical forms – we live in a world with the same physical properties, so even if you go to a culture that’s never seen a white European person before, things still drop down when they let go, they are born and they die and they have arms and legs and move the same way. So there are certain general constraints that come from the physical world that are there for everybody. Beyond that, because one of the characteristics of the human brain is its sheer size and plasticity and flexibility, and clearly we solve the problem of perception in a number of different ways, perception isn’t only one thing.

If you look at my area of how people hear voices – when you hear voices the left side of the brain and the right side of the brain do different things with the same information, then later on they put it together, so when you encounter someone you know, they are easier for you to understand – that’s the outcome. But before that, there’s been a lot of separate processing of stuff.

And you’ve got no insight into that, but it’s just the way that the brain has carved it up. So there’s constraints based on the physical nature of life, and constraints based on how the scale of the possibilities that the brain can solve the problem. Beyond that, we all have entirely different developmental trajectories.

Do you remember when everyone was very concerned about clones – wouldn’t it be awful if you had a clone just like you?  No! That can’t happen. You’d have to raise that clone for 20 years before they were remotely like you so you’re not going to have a clone catching up on you and being just like you, because their experiences will be different. We have these large brains and the characteristic of mammal’s brains is that they are big, and we have extended juvenile periods when we train these brains up, and we don’t all have the same experiences during that training. It’s a huge amount of time when your brain is developing during juvenilia and that gives you considerable plasticity and flexibility in the finished product, not that there ever is a finished product because it changes through your whole life span



PBC

David. We are hearing Sophie describing the complexity of understanding language and there are lots of different bits of the brain putting this data together, and at some point you understand the language. You mentioned the complex visual system – it’s remarkable that we manage to build this synchronised model of reality from all these inputs. We don’t have a lip synch problem, we see people’s lips moving, we interpret that, we hear sound and we interpret that, we put it all together and we get this in-synch view of reality. Do we know how that happens?

DE

You’re pointing to a very interesting issue which is that the different senses will process data at different speeds. So for example the reason that we use a gun to get sprinters off the blocks is because you can react faster to a bang than you can to a flash of light. It’s much slower when signals have to come through the visual system and out through the motor system.

We’ve known since the 1800s that the different senses get processed at different speeds. But what you’re pointing to is that if I clap my hands, it looks synched and it feels synched to me – I put out the motor command and I hear it and feel it and see it all at the same time, Your brain is doing lots of sophisticated editing tricks to make that seem true and the only way it can pull it off is for you to live in the past. I don’t mean the clothes you’re wearing!

So when you think the moment “now” occurs it’s already long gone. That allows your conscious mind to put together a story of what just happened - it has to stitch together a lot of information, compare across the senses, and finally serve it up - and that’s the story that you have.

PBC

Do we have an idea of what that delay is?

DE

Yes. It’s estimated to be half a second.

PBC

So how does that fit with our ability to dodge a projectile?

DE

It turns out your unconscious brain - which accounts for most of what your brain is doing - can do extremely sophisticated things. So for example, people hit fastballs in baseball all the time, those are travelling at 90mph – the ball travels from the pitcher’s mound to the home plate in 4/10 of a second, which is faster than your conscious mind can keep up with. I used to play baseball and my experience was always becoming consciously aware that I had hit the ball and it was flying away, and now it was time to throw the bat and run, because your body can do incredibly complex things pre-consciously and often without conscious interference at all. And as we automate things – ride a bike or walk or eat – you don’t even have access to how you’re doing it but none the less your brain can take care of it.

PBC

So that means if a baseball is coming towards the bat, that timing of the hit which we can time very accurately, that’s unconscious. It takes precedence – your brain prioritises that information… do this first and I will build the model of reality and experience afterwards.



DE

Exactly. There are shortcuts where you can have visual information coming in, making decisions, hitting the motor cortex, signals go down your spinal cord to your muscles, you’re making feedback corrections on the swing… all of that happens – and this underscores the point that putting together the story of your conscious experience is a separate process that’s very slow.

BC

I once had some really good advice from a farmer. We were clay pigeon shooting and I kept missing and he said, don’t think about it, don’t look at the clay, just imagine where you think the clay is going to be, and then aim much further than that. And once I did that, I didn’t miss a single clay. Literally when I stopped thinking about where it was and hitting it, and went way in front of it… it is interesting that with target sports you’re kind of not supposed to look at the thing you’re trying to hit.

PBC

That happened to Luke Skywalker in Star Wars didn’t it? When he had to fire the thing down the death star.

RI

You are such a physicist!

DE

This illustrates an important point. The conscious mind typically only makes things worse when something is automatized and the body can just do it. Try an experiment. Pick up two pens and sign your name forwards and backwards, in a mirror image, so your left hand is doing backwards from what your right hand is doing.  It’s easier to do if you don’t think about it. The moment you start to think about how the letters look, you can’t do it any more.

BC

Same as when you’re coming down the stairs

DE

Yes. Same as playing the piano. If you think of how you are doing it, you can’t do it.

RI

When you talk about the human brain and its malleability and learning, I was thinking of the Sperry experiment where there’s a frog which requires a certain line for a fly to go past for the tongue to hit and catch the fly. The frog is not thinking consciously about it. Sperry took the frog’s eye out and put it back in upside down. What they found was the frog never learns. Every time a fly goes past the tongue goes in the opposite direction. The frog starves to death. But we seem to have the ability to change our behaviour to survive, but the frog couldn’t. It died.

SS

If you go to London zoo in the reptile house, they have a great big crocodile skull with a great big chunky plate of bone running down his nostrils and eye holes. It’s huge and heavy, and right at the back, about the size of my little finger joint, there’s a little pit for his brain. Now I can laugh at his little brain but if I was in the water with that crocodile and his little brain, he would be more of a threat to me than I am to him with my lovely big brain, because he has a limited repertoire, but it works well.

You can’t just line up all the animals in the world based on the size of their brains, and say at one end we’ve got simple behaviour and here we go up through the vole, and getting more complex up to humans. It’s not that simple. Generally in evolution we can see the step changes where we start to see new networks getting built in, so by the time you get to primate brains you start to see quite consistently different patterns that do seem to relate not just to size, but to extreme complexity and perceptual processing. So for example, mammals evolved in the dark and lost the ability to see colour. People say “oh no no, not my cat!” but I promise you your cat can’t see colour. Us primates rediscovered that ability to see colour. We found a way to get that information, probably to do with fruit eating or something – but that’s an example of a relationship between behaviour and perception and the changes in the plasticity and capabilities of the brain.

BC

So we develop the things we need and there’s a lot of our brain that we don’t use.

SS

No! You use all of it, all the time! You’d notice very quickly if some of it didn’t work.

BC

Really?

I thought we didn’t use a lot of it.

RI

I think you told me Sophie, that people sometimes say you only use 10% of your brain, so they did some research and found out it’s not true. People who say we use only 10% of our brain are only using 10% of their brains.

BC

So when you say we don’t see as much as we think we do, you mean we don’t physically see as much as we think we do?

SS

Your brain is dealing with a lot less visual information than it feels like you’re getting, because as David says, you have an internal model that you’re updating all the time. Terrifyingly, because you turn your visual cortex off when you move your eyes or blink, you are functionally blind for 15% of your day. When we’re driving or crossing the road we’re not seeing – that’s how profound it is.

DE

 It depends how you mean it. What we always experience is our internal model of the road and so the interesting part about our eye movements is, if you watch someone’s eye movements, often we think it looks like a little camera, with the eyes moving around. But if you were to take a camera and film in this jerky fashion, with the camera jumping around, the resulting video would be nauseating. The reason why we feel the world is stable even though our eyes are moving like a drunk person holding the camera is because the eyes are not behaving like a camera – all they are doing is finding little bits of data to add into our internal model. So you’re totally right of course - while they are in movement they are not taking in new information.

SS

They are suppressed! They are turned off!

DE

Yes, but the internal model is stable. That’s why we don’t experience it as 15% of darkness, or blackness. Your internal model is perfectly fine, it just means only 85% of the time are you landing on spots to pull more data into your internal model and improve it.

PBC

David, this internal model which is what we experience as reality, so we’ve discussed that it’s partly the hardware of the brain, it’s partly learned, it’s partly cultural, it’s also partly based on our memories and past experience. So what do we know about those components? If we take memory for example, what do we know about the contribution of our past experience to our present model?

DE

Everything about your past experience has left its footprints in your nervous system, so that is what makes you exactly who you are at the moment. The fact is that if you look around the room there’s a lot of variation in people’s faces and there’s that much variation in people’s brains too. Brains are unique and everyone’s experience of consciousness right now, is presumably unique in the history of humankind. And it won’t last – we are works in progress and so tomorrow it will be something different. But memory is intertwined into that. All of your experiences are constantly pushing you farther along on this trajectory that you’re on.

PBC

And what is it that’s changing? Is it physical interconnections in the brain? Is there some sense that it’s a program running like in a computer?

DE

To the best of our knowledge it’s all physical and structural. One of the most obvious things that changes is the connections between the neurons and the vast pattern of connections. This is summarised as the connectome - a huge map of a thousand trillion connections that is like an extremely high dimensional fingerprint.

PBC

A thousand trillion. That’s a thousand and 12 zeroes. So 15 zeroes.

DE

Yes. That’s how many connections you have and every one of those is passing signals multiple times per second, every second of your life. But here’s the thing. When you learn something new, a new skill or a new fact, there definitely are changes at these connections but probably it goes a lot deeper than that, all the way down into the bio-chemical cascades inside the cells, then all the way down into the changes of the nucleus that change gene expression. So we’ve been concentrating on the connections between neurons for a long time because our technology allows us to put electrodes in and look at that, but the finer and finer levels are harder to look at.

PBC

So it’s an unbelievably complicated place the brain.

SS

If you think about how recently we’ve even been able to ask questions about what’s inside our heads compared to how long we’ve been asking questions about, say, the sky, it’s only about 100 years. When people got hold of microscopes they found funny fibrous stuff in the brain (axons) and we didn’t know about that until microscopes got really good, so we are living in unbelievably early days when it comes to studying the brain.

RI

Well that’s all we have time for - I’ve just looked at how we’ve done with the questions we prepared and we’ve only got to question 3!